"Steem Monsters" + "Drug Wars" - Power Strategy Tips #31

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(Edited)

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As I have now been playing Steem Monsters and Drug Wars for several months, I've wanted to contribute something of ACTIONABLE value to my fellow players (and FUTURE players) - but NOT just fill my Steemit feed with daily images of quest reward - or battle - SPAM, (no offense to those doing so). Ultimately, Steemit is about ADDING VALUE to the social experience - that is the magic of blockchain technology. So, after some serious pondering, I decided that a weekly "Steem Monsters + Drugs Wars player strategy diary" type series, with CONCISE and ACTIONABLE tips, would be of most value to my audience. Please let me know your thoughts (good and/or bad), and I hope that readers (now and into the future) will benefit from this series. If you gain a better understanding of blockchain, gaming, "blockchain gaming", marketing, and/or any other area of knowledge I end up exploring as this series naturally progresses, then I will have done my "good deed" (of providing value) for the week. Also, feel free to hit me up on the battlefield...

@transcript-junky

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( 1 ) In the last post in this series I mentioned that I felt like buying the 100 (+10) "Orb" pack batches had reached a "point of diminishing returns" in that I was getting a lot of the same cards, and was selling too much Bitcoin to buy the packs. Sure, those extra 10 packs increase your chance of hitting some "super cards" within those extra 50 cards (10 packs x 5 = 50 card), but the issue is the "opportunity cost" of spending 0.03 Bitcoin (which may SKYROCKET - especially with the upcoming BTC "halving") as opposed to purchasing more #SteemMonsters packs, more gradually. I explained that I would now be buying "ONE "Orb" pack per day", since my daily DEC earnings from battles is ROUGHLY 2,000 - 2,500 DEC (right around the price of one "Orb" pack). Well, I kept meticulous records this past week, after starting the "one pack per day" strategy, and here is the record documenting what I scored (including details on the gold and legendary (high value) "Orb cards", plus a more general breakdown of the DEC earned from converting "non-keepers". I have also included a breakdown of the DEC earnings from my daily reward cards, and the payouts from the posts in this series - to show how the amount of INCOME I have coming in daily is REASONABLE related to the daily cost of the "Orb" pack:

[** DISCLAIMER: my method of record-keeping evolved over the week, so the below info may be a little bit confusing, but I wanted to get this post out in a timely manner, and will clean up the info for the next week**]

single daily "Orb" pack purchase records (market value on the day of scoring cards):

November 2nd, 2019 - "Corrupted Pegasus" (Legendary - Level 1 - $12.00 USD) + 210 DEC (commons)

November 3rd, 2019 - "Electric Eels (Gold)" LVL 3 - $6.49

November 4th, 2019 - 330 DEC (commons) 41,564

November 5th, 2019 - "Goblin Chef" (Gold - Level 4) - $2.30 + 220 DEC (commons) 39,709

November 6th, 2019 - "Molten Ogre) (Gold - Level 4 - $1.50 USD) - 210 DEC (commons)

November 7th, 2019 - 240 DEC (non-keepers - converted to DEC) - 22,966 / 117,792 ("Orbs")
rewards - 15 60 72 (Gold Vampire -Level - $0.72) ~ 1.00 USD (keepers) - 360 (converted to DEC)

November 8th, 2019 -
"Orb" cards - 240 DEC (non-keeper "Orbs" converted to DEC)
reward cards - 90 DEC (keepers - upgraded existing cards) // non-keepers (converted to DEC) - 240 DEC

  • ** Today I hit Gold III and bought one additional daily "Orb" pack against the 10 additional season reward cards

November 9th, 2019
rewards - keepers 840 PLUS (Sea Genie (Gold) - up to Level 8) + 300 (Manticore - upped to Level 4) - non-keepers (converted 105 DEC)
"Orbs" pack (#1 - daily pack) - 240 (non-keepers, converted to DEC)
"Orbs" pack (#2 - from 7.00 Steem payout from my previous Steemonsters weekly post series (this series))
keepers "Corrupted Pegasus" (Legendary - Level 1 - $13.49 USD (3,000 DEC)
non-keepers (converted to DEC) - 300 DEC

Notes: Without going into too much excruciating detail, I think you can see that at the "one "Orb" pack per day" pace (PLUS one additional "Orb" pack when I reach the next level of the game in the season (bought as a "future" against the potential earnings of the ~ 10 additional rewards card for bumping up to Gold III), PLUS one "Orb" pack upon payout of each post in this series - currently around 7.0 Steem + 7.0 Steem Power) ultimately has a significantly POSITIVE return relative to the cost of the packs (2,400 (with my current "guild discount of 4% on potions, "Orb" packs, etc.) If I am to simply keep up this pace until the remaining ~ 117k+ "Orb" packs are sold out, I believe this will be a high-ROI long-term investment, in terms of BOTH the value of the more rare "Orbs" cards, AND the bonus 10%-20% of DEC that I earn from using these "Orb" cards in won battles. Since one "Orb" packs costs roughly $2.50 USD (or 16 Steem, or (16 (Steem) x $0.15/Steem = ~ $2.40 USD) you can then calculate the value of the above "super cards" against the cost (in DEC) - which is 2,400 DEC per "Orb" pack - to find BOTH the ratio of output of DEC versus the input of "super cards". HOWEVER, what we need to keep in mind is that each of these "super-cards" (gold and legendaries specifically, but also ALL "Orb" ("promo") cards generation 10% - 20% of BONUS DEC per won battle (aka "dividends"), and so when doing the accounting, in the long-term the extra perpetual DEC from these cards EASILY covers the 2,400 DEC cost for the daily "Orb" pack. I am also monitoring the decrease in supply of the "Orb" cards (currently at ~ 117,433 packs at the time of writing this sentence), and - depending on how many "super cards" I get as we approach the "final run" of these limited edition cards, I may do one (or a few) last buys of 100 (+10) "Orb" packs, as those extra 10 free packs will equate to ~ $25.00 USD (or 50 "free chances" to score some final "super cards") to max out the "super cards" and their long-term income. If one of those cards is another "Minotaur Warrior" (Gold, Level 3) then that would be BOTH a ~ $200 USD score, AND the final card I would need to max out that card, of which there are only 32 in existence - Oops, 31 now, as of the final edit of this post (someone burned one out of the 32 cards!) The main issue right now is how to MINIMIZE OUTPUT (in external crypto) while MAXIMIZING EARNINGS. I think this main strategy of the "one "Orb" pack per day" is feasible, and a most efficient use of my limited (but consistent) budget of DEC (when you account for the cards I get in the daily quest rewards (some of which I convert to DEC immediately to offset the cost of the one daily "Orb" pack, PLUS any NON "super cards" in the "Orb" pack, PLUS the additional daily bonus DEC I earn from the "super cards", etc.). In other words, the 2,500 DEC cost of the daily "Orb" pack is PROGRESSIVELY less costly each day as I continue with this strategy, because the DEC is being RE-INVESTED into the cards, and thus the "earning potential" of my collection as a whole. Let's see what happens. Things look good so far.

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( 2 ) For several reasons (including limited time, as well as having to divert some energy to other important projects) I ended up finishing the last season at Gold I level. This means I was bumped down to Silver III at the start of the new season. This was a bit of a "blessing and a curse", but an informative/enlightening one. On the negative side, starting out at Silver III imposed a significant enough amount of limits on my cards and summoners. So much so that it took a good FIVE DAYS of serious, concentrated effort to get back up to Gold I, and this was both frustrating, and limited the number of daily reward cards I could score for a few days. On the POSITIVE side of things, I came to the realization that my current collection of "Orb" promo (gold and non-gold) cards is now providing a MAJOR advantage in this EXACT situation (where the cards are limited in their level). One important thing to keep in mind is that, since we are being matched with opponents on the same level (ex. Silver, Gold, etc.) their cards ARE ALSO LIMITED to the same degree as yours. This is where those "Orb" promo cards (gold and non-gold) have a MAJOR advantage. Firstly, since you are unlikely to have more than Level 2 or 3 of these cards they are generally NOT especially limited in their functionality at the lower levels of the game. This means that you can BOTH use them INSTEAD of their non-gold counterparts (for instance, since my "Electric Eels" (Gold "Orb") card is now at Level 5, and my "Electric Eels" (NON-gold "Orb") cards is at Level 8. HOWEVER, at the Silver III level of play the NON-gold "Electric Eels" card is limited down to Level 5 -- the SAME as the gold version! This means that I can use the gold version with THE SAME amount of power/ability as the non-gold, and earn a 20% bonus (per card) per won battle (10% for "promo" PLUS 10% for "gold" = 20% for "gold promo") instead of merely the 10% for using the Level 8 (no-gold) card at the higher levels (ex. Gold, Diamond). In fact, I have found this to be so productive in the early stage of the season (likely earning DOUBLE the DEC I normally would) that I wasn't in too much of a rush to hit the Gold level! There was less PRESSURE on my to go up the ranks now that I have a "cushion" (via my growing stash of "gold promo" cards to subsidized the DEC earning lost by starting at the lower level). This was further reinforcement of the value of buying the "one "Orb" pack per day" strategy). This is actually a VERY important concept, so please ponder it seriously. It also reduces the pressure to upgrade your "gold promo" cards to higher than Level 4 or Level 5 (which often requires only a few cards), and so I will be focusing on doing just that. Right now I am trying to get hold of one more "Dwarven Wizard" (Gold - Level 3) cards, because I just need one more to combine him to Level 4, thereby unlocking his very powerful "stun" ability, which will be a serious "game-changer" (pun intended). I am hoping that, with my current purchase of one "Orb" pack per day, I will land another one of these "Dwarven Wizard" (Gold - Level 3) cards. I would be content with him at Level 4.

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( 3 ) In the same line of reasoning about the card limits at lower levels, I finally realized that my "Crypt Mancer" (legendary summoner) card actually DOES have practical value. I got a bunch of this summoner in my recent 100 (+10) beta pack batch purchase, (in addition to two other legendary summoners in different splinters (earth and fire), but since there were both LESS of the others, AND they are more expensive, AND I wasn't sure how/when to use them (how "practical" they were) I ended up deciding to sell them to buy some more gold cards and potions. However, I kept the Crypt Mancer (with the goal is EXPERIMENTING to see if/how I could use him), and he is now just one (~ $12 USD) card away from Level 3. The good news is that at my several days of play at Silver III level, this season, I finally discovered how my current Crypt Mancer can be very useful. He's stronger than my main "death summoner" (Zintar Mortaus), and good to use at the lower level at the beginning of the season, and so I will now likely purchase that final card to at least get him to Level 3. Then, over the next few seasons I can buy one card per season to max him out. I think it would at least be good to have one maxed legendary summoner in my collection.

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( 4 ) I also saw that the "Furious Chicken" (Gold - Level 3) went down significantly in price over the past month, and for the TWO main reasons that I use this card in as many battles as possible, AND because by using him/her in GOLD version you automatically get a 10% bonus of DEC per won battle (added to all the other bonuses), then the $6.60 USD it cost me for my first card is ALREADY paying for itself. I LOVE the "Furious Chicken", and have fully intended to max BOTH the non-gold AND THEN the gold versions of this card. Now it seems that my DEC income level from my gold and promo cards, and the "super cards" I score in my daily quest rewards PLUS that "one "Orb" pack per day" will make it easier and faster to max him/her out. I actually only need THREE (3) more "Furious Chicken" (Gold - Level 3) cards to get to Level 5, which then would BOTH be equal to my current non-gold level, AND would unlock the "enrage" ability, which would keep my little chicken "in the game" longer to potentially do more damage. I am keeping a record of the number (and URLs of the battles) where my chicken has LITERALLY WON the battle ("been the "game-changer"), and that growing list is impressive. Adding the gold factor to that only BOOSTS the value of this very (elusively) powerful card. It must be that whole "0" (zero) numerology thing at work. It's one of my absolute FAVORITE "lucky numbers". And I don't say this lightly. I can write a whole book about the significant of the "chicken/rooster" in my expeditions through several "developing" countries on the saddle of my mountain bike, but that will be reserved for another series. For now, I will just leave you with a "breadcrumb" if you are so inclined to follow :

Year of the Rooster
https://chinesenewyear.net/zodiac/rooster/

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( 5 ) Good news on the #drugwars front. It turns out that the dudes over in my "BroBoss" gang are quite proactive, and increasingly so, and we have started making the Discord channel more "interactive" and organized by adding some forward-moving features (ex. an "introduction" section (where we can get to know a little bit more about our fellow gang members). One especially promising move is that one of the members (I will keep names confidential for now - it is a "gang" after all) has started initiating roughly one "gang job" per day. The IMMEDIATE benefit of this is that we all MAGICALLY get a nice dump of resources once a day for essentially doing nothing (aside from my JUICY daily contribution of 500k of each resource into the gang, of course, which IS valuable). Once I saw him doing the gang jobs I figured that since I had a rather large army, and have settled on a productive strategy with the "individual" jobs (doing only one job per day, and replenishing the lost resources overnight), I would just throw my whole army at a "gang job". I was warned by the other guy that you need to get to know the "gang job" algorithm, but because I saw that he only experienced a loss of like 200 "mama" units on the "High Noon" (Level 1) gang job I figured that if I just threw everything at it my losses would be less. WRONG! This turned out to be exactly like my first major battle in @drugwars, where I lose my whole army. I call this milestone "the initation battle". Well, I lost ~ 3,000 rowdy units and 3,000 bouncer units - not the end of the world, but MUCH more of a loss (relative to gain), and it took me a good two days to replenish those guys, and threw my larger strategy off fr a few days. Live and learn. So with this "initiation battle" under my belt I figure it was time to devise a more focused "gang job strategy". We decided that this other member would work on BOTH doing daily battles AND writing up a "basics of "gang jobs" type document (posted in out gang's Discord channel) so that group members like me can get up-to-speed and confident initiating gang jobs, with the additional goal of gradually bringing in one additional gang member at a time to contribute to future "High Noon" (Level 1) gang jobs, to see if having MORE THAN ONE gang member participate in the job decreases the overall losses. It is my understanding that "collective participation" is one of the intended features of the "gang job". I think this is a productive goal to work on, BOTH because it increasess income of resources (and gang building upgrades) for the whole gang, AND because it helps build a stronger community and collaboration. I am happy to see that since joining this PROPER gang I am able to explore and benefits from the various features of the gang function PROPERLY. Participation in the gang provides continuous (and collective) learning about the game, which also helps prevent boredom and burnout. Gang members can propose tasks, and then organize the implementation of those tasks, which is always an enjoyable experince (in general) The future is looking bright with the gang. If you are a SERIOUS drug wars player please feel free to reach out to me if you want to join our gang. I am the "Capo" of our gang, and can put you in touch with the leader/coordinator to get you in.

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( 6 ) Last month, when my @steemmonsters "DEC Hunters" guild reached "Level 6" of the guild hall, which then allowed us to upgrade the Quest Lodge to "Level 6" and enjoy 7% DEC bonus per won battle, plus 4% discount on potions and other store stuff, SOME of the members were (validly) concerned that if we continued to contribute DEC to the Guild Hall each day, full force, we'd be missing out on EARNING BACK some DEC (relative to what we had already put in). The members appeared to split into two camps : "Camp A" : those who wanted to pause in contributing daily DEC to the Guild Hall until we had a better idea of what the benefit of that extra cost would be, as it was unknown, and "Camp B": those who preferred to "take the risk" of continuing to contribute daily. I was a vocal advocate of "Camp B", with the simple reasoning (in combination with my business and marketing experience) that the FUNDAMENTALS of "SteemMonsters" just look so promising at this point that I have a strong INTUITIVE sense that the admin of the game will roll out some JUICY new features for the guild, in the NEAR future, and so by pausing in contributing to eeach higher levels of the Guild Hall and Quest Lodge we may be OBSTRUCTING receiving some of those benefits if we just stop in or tracks. After some debate, we came to a general decision that members could CHOOSE to either pause or continue. I suggested that if we chose to "pause" that we keep a record of the number of days paused, and then RETROACTIVELY contribue at a future date, if we feel that that would be beneficial to the group. In this way we leave all options open, and it's always best to have options. It turns out that a significant number of members just kept right on contributing, and those of us who have (temporarily) paused seem to be ready to contribute retroactivey again as we approach future milestones. In addition, the daily DEC we are now saving during the hiatus can be used for OTHER expenses (ex. card upgrades, potions, packs, etc.), which then ALSO have a longer-term ROI. Another major benefit is that NEW members of the group can begin contributing daily so as to sort of "earn" the immediate benefits they get (from the work of earlier members who have contrubited to get us to the current level of 7% DEC bonus per won battle, and 4% discount on in-game items). This seems to be a winning formula for now, and it seems that the group has become motivated (as I intuited) to continue moving forward. So ultimately, I'm glad I was able to offer some less "black and white" options to help things continue moving forward in and not miss out on future opportunities during this exciting beginning phase of this promising SteemMonsters game.

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Okay, I think that's enough of a data dump for now. I hope you find some/any of these tips useful in increasing your understanding and/or skill level in the Steem Monsters (Splinterland) and/or Drug Wars game(s). More JUICY tips to come with each weekly update, as I become more experienced and successful in the game.

See you on the battlefield...

@transcript-junky

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Great Splinterlands post! I will be giving this post a SM upvote!

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(Edited)

You put the "awe" in AWESOME! ...

p.s. I'm in the process of going back and proofreading and polishing up this post. The issue is that I was uber-busy and just needed to get this published, so I figured I would put it out in "good enough" condition, and then go over it a few times over the next 24-48 hours...

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I think you did a perfect job! I love the gold furious chicken too! It is an awesome card! That is the first chicken card I ever pulled- a gold one! You should join in my gold chicken giveaway! https://steemit.com/steemmonsters/@steemmonsters/3peeqz-splinterlands-facebook-and-telegram-report

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(Edited)

Hey. I just upped that post. I'm boycotting Facebook, but if you had a Twitter option for this giveaway I would do that. Let me know. One of the main benefits of the "Gold Chicken" at ANY level, is the mere fact that JUST by throwing him/her in there you get an immediate 10% (gold card) DEC bonus if you win the battle. When you simply compare that 10% bonus (just for this ONE CARD, which has ZERO mana (so it's essentially "free 10% DEC") to the guild bonus (my guild is at Quest Lodge Level 6, so we are now getting a 7% bonus on each won battle. That means that just adding the golden chicken to a battle earns you MORE than the guild bonus, which has taken a LOT more work to attain. Then, if you throw in some regular, gold, and/or "gold promo" Orb cards I am making like 75%+ DEC bonus for many of the battles I have been doing lately! The cost of a axed "Furious Chicken" (Gold) car is "chicken feed" compared to the long-term ROI... Cluck ...Cluck...

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Looks like I need to join a gang in drug wars and a guild in spinterlands to make progress happen faster.

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Hi, @transcript-junky!

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Have you experimented buying 100 orbs but opening only one a day and it's results compare to buying just one a day? Anyways great post.

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Haha! Yup! The problem is that I'm a "pack addict", which means that however many packs I have in my "open" page they will be opened within 24 hours - like putting crack in front of a crack addict. My main concern has been hitting a few key cards which I still want to hit BEFORE the "Orbs" packs run out, BUT ALSO not spend too much external crypto. Funny you mention this because I gave into my addiction YESTERDAY an sold off another 0.03 BTC, partly as celebration for the successful Kickstarter campaign, and partly because I am growing concerned about Coinbase's increasing movement into mainstream - with talk of SEC and all that jazz. I try to avoid anything touched by the gubmint as much as possible, so I have decided to do a METHODICALLY paced movement of BTC out of Coinbase and into Steem (in the form of buying one 100-pack per month until the "Orbs" packs run out. If Steem goes up I can eventually buy the BTC back (and other coins), but not on Coinbase probably. I am ALSO continuing to do the "buy one "Orb" pack per day", and IN ADDITION am now buying an ADDITIONAL daily pack each time I hit a new play level in the season, AND when I get a payout from the posts in this series, AND if I win a substantial amount in a tournament (like the Gold tournament later today). The key is to set up a SYSTEM by which you control the amount of output to a manageable level, and make sure to justify the output with a fair amount of input. Hitting just one "gold Orb" card can make up for several packs, so it's an issue of accounting as well as maintaining enough liquid DEC to cover the packs, PLUS potions. The monthly 100-pack is sort of celebratory, and fun, and those extra 10 free packs (50 cards) could very well hold a "free" super-card...

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@mawit07 - I've actually been giving your idea a more serious thought after this past week. I could TRY to experiment to see if I can control myself at "one pack per day". The main issue is that (as I will explain in the next installment of this series), due to the cost of potions, and buying a few "extra" daily packs (in line with my new method) the 2,400/per cost actually DOES eat away at your DEC liquidity, and so like within 24 hours I will have to come up with around 5,000 DEC to cover the "+5 reward card" potion, and the daily pack. As you mentioned, it may be advantageous to have a "reserve" of 110 packs to cover 110 days of "one pack per day". However, ANOTHER complicating factor is the cost ratio of BTC to Steem. For instance, on Nov 9th, 2019 I sold 0.03 BTC for 1848.394 STEEM, but today that same 0.03 BTC will only get me 1694.168 STEEM. If STEEM keeps going up relative to BTC I may find myself in a situation where I CAN'T EVEN AFFORD to sell BTC for 110 "Orbs" packs, so I have a dilemma. Can you think of any additional justifications for doing another sell (within the next day or two) of BTC for 110 "Orbs" packs, and opening one per day? My capture are is at ~ 55%, and I am up against the clock to buy the "+5 reward cards" potion in two days, plus the "one pack per day", Ultimately, this was a good learning experience about the importance of maintaining DEC liquidity...

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Btc prices and altcoins will alway fluctuate. What I have seen often than not is the steemmonsters cards rise in value in the long run. Just getting a gold foil at a higher rarity will likely be worth more tomorrow than today.
just remember what your trying to achieve with the btc. Having it sit and wait for it to rise in price or be holding steemmonster cards that you can use to earn crypto or trade it for crypto. It was a phenomenal idea when aggroed paired the cards value in terms of dollars in lieu of a specific crypto. This gives sellers opportunity to receive either steem, sbd, or dec. I can see the future of the card prices be higher as clear as day. I only been watching the resale market for the past month but generally any gold foil had been rising in value. The price increases in my opinion will offset the lower btc for steem I think in the long run. I don't have numbers to prove it so you have to see it yourself.
Just wish I started paying more attention to the game even a year ago because card prices still weren't as high as now. It seems to only go up as more players jump in board.

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Yup! I totally agree. In fact, a few minutes before I saw your comment I put in a sell order to convert 1000 BAT that I bought at $0.25 last November (which has been going nowhere, but will sell at $0.26 (so at least I didn't LOSE anything) to buy another 100 (+10) "Orbs" packs, and TRY to control myself in pacing myself in opening them. I can AT LEAST open the 10 free packs tonight, and then TRY to do the "one pack per day". I can also start RE-BUYING up BAT at $0.25 range with the more LIQUID Steem/DEC from the "Orb" card earnings. I totally agree that it is best to focus on making all of these assets LIQUID. When I bought the BAT I thought it would go up, but it seems more realistic for us to earn BAT via using the Brave browser. I'm also buying up DOGE with the SteemMonsters earnings, as it is dirt cheap, and I believe has long-term upward potential...

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