Splinterlands - Low hanging fruit report 09.08.2022
Here we go, the cheapest cards on the market on the 8th August 2022!
Welcome back!
Welcome back to the Low hanging fruit report. If you have not joined us here before, to make it simple, I have been recording the lowest cards on the market per edition since this post here.
Let me carry on with the explanation...
The idea is to track and trace the rise and fall of card values. Do with that what you will!
Time will tell and so will my graphs. I need to be doing this over the course of many months to get those stats to show us true trending instead of just fluctuating.
Graphs
The Venari Heatsmith
The cheapest Common Cards in a graph
Without the Alpha Cards...
Let's look at that without the Beta cards too...
Low Hanging Fruit - Card Values
Common Cards
This is today...
This was yesterday...
The cheapest cards of the day ranging from $0.010 till $0.011 the CHEAP TEN are the Pelacor Deceiver, Gargoya Lion, Venari Heatsmith, Pelacor Mercenary, Pelacor Conjurer, Pelacor Bandit, Blood Maker, Vampire Bat, Merdhampir and Ever-Hungry Skull.
On the special watchlist, the Venari Heatsmith on: $0.010. This stayed the same. 71.59% of these have been printed! This is going to tie in with their value as time goes by!
I have a Venari Heatsmith at max.
Gargoya Lion, I have 238/400 BCX. 71.62% printed
@mypathtofire asked me to keep track of the Deeplurker. Today it is $0.180, this down significantly.
- The cheapest Chaos Legion Reward 2021 card is the Pelacor Conjurer at $0.010.
- The cheapest Chaos Legion Reward 2022 card is the Ever-Hungry Skull at $0.010.
- The cheapest Chaos Legion card is the Radiated Scorccher at $0.015.
- The cheapest Untamed Reward card is the Harvester at $0.076.
- The cheapest Dice card is Marrow's Ghost at $0.137.
- The cheapest Untamed card is Giant Scorpion at $0.200.
- The Cheapest Beta era reward card is the Ettin Spearman at $0.130.
- The Cheapest Beta card is a Minotaur Warrior at $0.276.
- The Cheapest Alpha card is an Animated Corpse at $1.353.
The cheapest Chaos Legion Reward 2021 cards stayed the same. ➡️
The cheapest Chaos Legion Reward 2022 cards stayed the same. ➡️
The cheapest Chaos Legion cards stayed the same. ➡️
The cheapest Untamed Reward cards went up. ⬆️
The cheapest Dice cards went down. ⬇️
The cheapest Untamed Cards went up significantly. ⬆️
The cheapest Beta era Reward cards went up. ⬆️
The cheapest Beta cards went up. ⬆️ Opportunity!
The cheapest Alpha cards stayed the same. ➡️
Rare cards
Right, let's see how the Rare cards are looking...
- The Cheapest Chaos Legion Reward 2021 Card is the Naga Assassin at $0.019.
- The Cheapest Chaos Legion Reward 2022 Card is the Vulguine at $0.021.
- The Cheapest Chaos Legion Card is the Portal Spinner at $0.069.
- The cheapest Untamed era Reward card is the Temple Priest at $0.249.
- The Cheapest Beta era reward card is the Battle Orca at $0.210.
- The cheapest Untamed card right now is Dark Astronomer at $0.790.
- The Cheapest Beta card is a Stonesplitter Orc at $1.448.
- The cheapest Dice card is Qid Yuff at $2.390
- The Cheapest Alpha card is a Stonesplitter Orc at $4.396.
On the special watchlist, the Venari Wavesmith at: $0.023. This went up. I bought another and have a total of 173/115 BCX now. I am just buying as many of these as the days they stay this low. These are at 60.03% printed...
Twilight Basilisk. $0.020, went down. Now on 59/115 BCX 59.98% printed.
The cheapest Chaos Legion Rewards 2021 stayed the same. ➡️
The cheapest Chaos Legion Rewards 2022 went up. ⬆️
The cheapest Chaos Legion went up. ⬆️
The cheapest Untamed Rewards went up. ⬆️
The cheapest Beta Rewards stayed the same. ➡️ Opportunity!
The cheapest Untamed cards went down. ⬇️
The cheapest Beta went up significantly! ⬆️
The cheapest Dice cards went up significantly! ⬆️
The cheapest Alpha cards went up. ⬆️
Epic
The Cheapest Epic card in the game is the Lava Launcher $0.115. This went down.
Lava Launcher at Max.
$0.115 current price, this went down.
Djinn Renova at $0.118, this stayed the same, now at 32/46.
Legendary
The Cheapest Legendary card in the game is Djinn Biljka today at $1.129. This went up. ⬆️
Harklaw is now being singled out: $1.200. This went down. I have 7/11. 56.06% have been printed.
As requested by @joetunex, we shall be including Quix the Devious on the daily watchlist! Currently trading at: $14.7 went down!
Quix the Devious Chart
SPS
Today, at the time of this writing SPS now at $0.077. This went down. Someone sold...
CP and card collection
So much to process here! I need to look at cards I can potentially max or fill up to the next level up that are a good investment!
I have a total of 312,430CP.
Yesterday I had 312,385CP.
Thus I went up +45CP.
If you would like anything to be added to this log and assessment, feel free to make a request!
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Not playing Splinterlands yet? Join here: https://splinterlands.com?ref=zakludick
Cheers for now!
Credits to @freeztag for the divider!
nice I really like your work
Thank you for stopping by. I do them every day.
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Nope. I have gone on a bit of a holiday mode for this season. Going 100% rent outs using Splex.gg
Do we have details about the inflation numbers?
Which inflation numbers do you mean @mypathtofire?
card inflation
Lol. Unfortunately that does not explain it to me any better.
Inflation values, yes, I assumed you meant the cards but in what sense?
There are only so many cards. I don't know if there is a way of know how many packs remain unopened but I guess one could try guess by using the cards in circulation value of every single card in CL currently in circulation.
Would be better done by the guys that code and find out such information.
So there would be a steady increase of cards available in general, but only in CL and CL rewards.
I don't think people will be opening packs to sell cards. It does not make sound financial sense, unless losing a little money for the chance at addition CL airdrop points and the chance of a GFL. Then they would be cycling cashflow to buy, open, sell and buy again.
Other than that... sorry, I have no idea what other manner of inflation you mean.
You are tracking the price at the moment which is useful to know. But it is only 1 part of the equation. What is important to see what may be driving the price changes such as the change in circulation.
For example, for VENARI HEATSMITH it would also be useful to know the change in:
Cards on the market, Cards circulated and burned.
Today I just checked and saw:
82300 cards on market
Distribution
1,561,793 cards circulating
10,473 cards burned
So if I saw the cards circulating are trending upwards, I can probably expect the price to fall so might sell or upgrade.
Indeed. That may affect the prices. Where do you see how many cards were burned in a day? I know where to see the total number of cards in circulation. I am not even sure it explains if it counts 500 for a level 10 or just counts 1 for a level 10.
Despite the amount of cards that were burned as you say, Venari Heatsmith has been on $0.01 for more than two weeks without going up or down. Maybe a different card needs to be used as a case study for 2 weeks or so before I can consider including these factors into the report. (It already takes quite a bit of time to put together.)
If what you say can be done, I am sure that it would serve as a possible predictive function, but I don't know how accurate or stable it will be. Which is why I suggest we pick a card to run a case study on.
Up till now the Low Hanging Fruit report has served well enough showing us a Historical account of the lowest card values per edition. Sometimes these values change while I am writing the report.
I try do it in one sitting. I have arrived on the scene to find a massive chunk of cards dumped on the market for cheap and while I report on this sudden fall in price, the cards are snapped up. This is something that makes trying to build a predictive matrix tricky. At that moment, it was all about buying and selling what was available on the market and not about how many cards were in circulation. It was Beta cards. Offered and bought.
How often does that happen? I don't know.
We will need to pick a card to try it on. I don't think the Venari Heatsmith will show us much movement. Its price is stable regardless of print rate, availability and so forth. Maybe some cards arrive on the market at $0.009, but they are bought out immediately if they are and $0.010 are not selling out fast enough to move it to $0.011.
Maybe something in the Untamed set or Untamed Reward cards should be picked...
I only see the total burned cards and I guess it would be manual if you tracked that.
Those are some good points and I see what you mean about the price volatility. I wasn't thinking that you include these factors and probably like you said they are not needed for low hanging fruit etc. I was just wondering, if the total minted supply or like you said total supply on the market is then the main factor for being low hanging fruit.
I guess the card prices would all decline over time unless the player growth stays strong.
Historically the player growth seems to be increasing.
Splinterlands is doing a lot to become even more popular as a game. I follow some Hive posts about weekly movement on Hive. Lots of new accounts and loads of operations on the blockchain every week are centered on Splinterlands.
Like any game, there will be people who throw in the towel and quit or outright rage quit, simply because they don't like how things are being done and they specifically want stuff done differently.
However, the Splinterlands team have to walk the fine line between listening to their consumers and achieving their long term goals.
Evidently the company is making money. Evidently, people who invested in the game 3 years ago are earning from it now and will earn even more in the future.
The use case for older cards are being kept relevant. Even if 80% of the player base end up playing Modern only, Alpha cards will always retain their massive value.
This was ensured by the card CP, rarity of the NFT and now further reinforced by the fact that Alpha and Beta (older cards) will be more useful working on Lands than newer cards. Brilliant move.
I am impressed by how they are running things for sure! Thanks for the info! 👍