Buy While The ROI Lasts: Odds Are Getting Almost Twice As Bad For @splinterlands Mystery Potions

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Ever since @splinterlands Mystery Potions started giving away Land Plots as their main prize, I have been a big advocate for buying up Mystery Potions. I have been well rewarded for my investment decisions and I have been very upfront about my trades. I have written many articles written about this topic where I asked to start buying before more people flock in.

On most of these days there were only 60-70 Mystery Potions running. I think there were days where less than 60 Mystery Potions were used. 5 Land Plots are given away each day. The odds were that you were bound to get a $20 Land Plot in under 2 weeks. Based on how RNG favors you, odds could have been better or worse.

18th Land Plot from Yesterday

@splinterstats have been keeping good records on what is going on with @splinterlands Mystery Potion Rewards. There are even more tools that can augment your gameplay/investing experience at https://kiokizz.github.io/Splinterlands

If you take a look at the daily reports, you will see 110 - 120 Mystery Potions being used on most of the days. Earlier the numbers were so good you were stupid not to invest unless you had some other amazing opportunity elsewhere. You were bound to earn a profit very soon.

DEC Prices Are Also Up

Recently released Brawls contributed to this a lot IMHO. You can have a better time on STEEM-Engine. These numbers are still more than twice as worse compared to the heyday of buying up cheap DEC.

I Have Been Buying A Lot on STEEM-Engine

This is one of my more recent buying orders. It has been an ongoing process where I have been slowing selling STEEM for DEC in order to purchase DEC Mainly for Mystery Potions and another mostly overlooked killer investment within @splinterlands

One of my Larger Deposits

I Still Make Sure To Keep A Mystery Potion Running

The day you miss might end up being the day in which you might have won a Land Plot. Thanks to my Roaring Twenties Guild, I get 10% off during the latter part of the season which is where I make bulk purchases of 10+1 Bonus Mystery Potion.


With all the discounts, I have been spending around 90 cents per Mystery Potion. After running some math, I figured out that I can break even with Land Plot wins alone as long as there is no more than 111 Mystery potions running. Since you are getting other rewards such as Untamed Booster Packs, Potions etc. the true break even is much higher.

There is Still Time; Time is Running Out

People are waking upto Mystery Potions. The ROI of the early days are not present here. In one of my previous article, I made my case for at least $100 per Praetoria Land Plot. The odds of winning one of these have been going down for the past few months and I expect them to gradually go down. @splinterlands is in no way slowing down. In fact it had its best quarter yet.

Happy Investing!

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I once bought the huge set of 115 potions, but I ran through them all a few weeks ago.

I might pick up on the Mystery potions again, but at the moment I felt I'd get a better return by parking the funds into CubDefi for the time being :).

But when the land update approaches, I may well give the potions a try again! :)

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