Mind the Black Swans of Splinterlands

avatar

▶️ Watch on 3Speak

Are you expecting that the price for Chaos Legion packs will drop after the pre-sale? Do you think that SPS will tank once it won't provide vouchers for stakers? Instinctively, that is what I would expect now but we should all be aware that Splinterlands has a reputation to produce black swans that make the game kind of unpredictable...

Want to start to play? Join my referral program!

  • Join Splinterlands using this link, buy the Summoner Spellbook and I will send you 200 DEC tokens

  • Join Rising Star using this link, make 100 missions and I will send you 1000 Starbits

This action is only valid for people who actually are my referrals.

Let's connect ! You can find me on these platforms:

▶️ 3Speak

splinterlands spt oneup leofinance ctp proofofbrain cent archon
0
0
0.000
33 comments
avatar

Splinterlands makes it easy to earn on a daily .

!LUV
!PIZZA

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

The game has become my number one income source online :-). I love it !

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

That simple little 13 word comment speaks volumes :-)

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

Awesome topic! The black swan event for me was the change of the reward system for bronze players last month because I just joined at that time so it caught me by surprise.

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

That is a very good example. It makes strategical planning for the game so much more complicated :-)

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

That us about when I started playing, but have been so focused on just collecting cards and learning gameplay that I have not thought of any of these things lol

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

I have learned a lot from watching your videos, and of course, your Splinterlands Academy, which is just excellent instruction on the game of Splinterlands.
I am so short sited I was not even thinking of the "what if SPS devalues" I have just been collecting and staking lol

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

Don't worry there are so many parameters in play, I believe nobody can really make a nice prediction. So sometimes it's just better to concentrate on the today stuff and not think too much in advance :-)

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

Given the huge number of new players coming on board every week I think that demand will continue to rise and thus so will prices.

This level of demand dominates supply side issues.

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

When I see how the rental market is working, I can only imagine how people will jump on the packs once they get slightly cheaper. I have the feeling that in the future it will be almost impossible to have fully developed cards because of this rising demand.

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

Well I think once the benefits from the chaos legion pre-sale ends, prices should drop. It's very similar to the hype and eventually the hype will die down. I still think SPS will go back up in price eventually. However SPS should recover over time.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

That's what I would expect as well but who knows if Splinterlands won't present a new partnership and SPS goes through the roof lol.

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

While it's always possible, I prefer actual development compared to partnerships.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

I guess the only thing that we can predict is that things in Splinterlands are going to be unpredictable. I took the advice that you mentioned in your comment on Chris's post and bought a couple packs of CHAOS in Hive Engine instead of trying to use VoUCHER. I sold the VOUCHER I had to get more Hive to buy more Index. I hope to get some more CHAOS but may just sell them and not open them.

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

Hey @lisamgentile1961 if your prediction turns out to be wrong, and Splinterlands becomes predictable, then, at least in this instance, it will have become unpredictable by becoming predictable! He he, I couldn't resist that! :)

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

The great thing about the Chaos packs is that it will give you sps every day even if you don't play the game. With your cards and the chaos packs you should get daily airdrop in SPS.

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

Is there something else I need to do with them besides just buy and hold them, Achim? I notice they don't show up in Splinterlands when I log in to my account. Thanks in advance for your help and Enjoy your day! 😀


Made in Canva

-- @lisamgentile1961

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

When you buy them on hive-engine they will stay there but you can import them in the game. For the daily airdrop, Splinterlands will go through your hive-engine account as well. So you don't need to import them.

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

Thanks Achim! Blain helped me to get it over to Splinterlands today. Chris found an article he sent me with some steps but for some reason it didn't work that way. So now my CHAOS packs are in Splinterlands. Have a great day!😀


Made in Canva

-- @lisamgentile1961

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

What what WHAT? I didn't know that. So if I buy Chaos packs, I'm going to get some SPS every day just for having them? Does it count if I open them?

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

Yes for every Chaos Pack, you will get 300 points that count for the SPS airdrop. Once you open the packs, you will still get airdrop because of the burn value of the cards that you have. At the moment it's not possible to open them yet.

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

Congratulations @achim03! You have completed the following achievement on the Hive blockchain and have been rewarded with new badge(s):

You received more than 50000 upvotes.
Your next target is to reach 55000 upvotes.

You can view your badges on your board and compare yourself to others in the Ranking
If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word STOP

Check out the last post from @hivebuzz:

HiveFest⁶ Meetings Contest

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

I learned to not overcomplicate things. Buy as soon as something is available, for the best price you can. Smarter strategies are sometimes risky, as you mentioned with land and waiting to buy it after presale from open market.

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

I've realized one thing about Splinterlands and it's that it's kind of unpredictable especially price wise. So I do a kind of dollar averaging. For example I stake all my SPS but sell 40 every day for hive. I sell my vouchers but reinvest 50% of the proceeds into the game. I don't care the prices and I don't care the opportunities but like that I'm sure that I can actually realise some profits and also increase my game assets.

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

I need to take out some profits too.

0
0
0.000
Reply
avatar

LOL your in deep @achim03 mate.
Slowly building my collection.
One step at a time.
Great video my friend thanks for the info.
Have an awesome day
iamahivelover2.png

0
0
0.000
Reply