The Supply Shock: As Expected

13 days ago

The Supply Shock

Well this is nothing new, we expected this, the eventual supply shock due to the Land Cards have hit Praetoria. It was quick and readily visible in the wood supply curve below. It is easy to demonstrate with wood and so I am using it as an example.

Above is the Total Supply Plot for wood in Praetoria. Notice, just before the introduction of the Land cards we have hit the max supply (till date) of wood in Praetoria at 867M total wood stash. Then came the demand shock, for the rare land card Kinbound Druid, which was crafted using Cinder + Wood. Therefore the net supply dropped to 454M, which I have covered here. That is a 47% drop in the total supply! It was the max drop for any resources in Praetoria. So the price responded too by going 2X Factor!

At the high 1000 wood sold for 150 DEC on Dec 09, 2025! Just 20 days later, it is now trading at 1000 wood for 66 DEC! Why? Because look at the slope of the supply curve for wood.

The yellow arrows represented the rate of production of wood previously. You can see there was some minor departure from the constant slope, but before the introduction to the land cards, they were mostly constant (given the active plots remained more or less constant).

Now look at the different between the slope of Orange arrow (current production rate) vs. the previous production rate, it is about 2X change of rate. We are currently producing nearly 13M wood surplus every day in Praetoria. At this rate we hit and blast through the max supply on Jan 20, 2026!

What follows: We need another major demand shock in January, otherwise prices will remain soft. Let us hope for a January Miracle!

splinterlands praetoria land sps hivegaming

0.000

16 comments

@splinterboost 60

13 days ago

This post has been supported by @Splinterboost with a 20% upvote! Delagate HP to Splinterboost to Earn Daily HIVE rewards for supporting the @Splinterlands community!

Delegate HP | Join Discord

0.000

@bozz 82

13 days ago

I was trying to figure out some better allocations for my land cards today after I opened those Rift Watchers packs but I can't find a good tool to use that makes things easier for me. I know you mentioned some a while ago. Would those help me?

0.000

@azircon 78

13 days ago

Here is a direct link

https://land.spl-stats.com/player-overview/collection

0.000

@azircon 78

13 days ago

Combine the cards, and then you can put them on your plots using Peakmonsters

0.000

@bozz 82

13 days ago

Ah, okay. I didn't know you could do that right in PeakMonsters. Does it make it pretty clear the optimal cards you should pick? Also does it make it clear if you are at a deficit or overage with DEC? I was having trouble figuring that out in the native interface. I was also having trouble figuring out if it will not let you use cards that are already locked on another piece of land. My fear was I was robbing one piece of land to improve another.

0.000

@azircon 78

13 days ago

You can plan using the other tool that I linked.

PKM will choose the highest PP card that you have.

0.000

@bozz 82

13 days ago

Okay, I will check I out!

0.000

@doombot75 64

13 days ago

Going to need some quick work to get something launched to keep supply under control, is this similar for all resources or has wood oversupply increased more than most due to the land cards?

Assume the land cards gold foils being mined will be accentuating the problem

0.000

@azircon 78

13 days ago

It is similar for other resources but the impact on wood is highly amplified

0.000

@beelzael 74

13 days ago

I'd guess that the next shock will come with Survival-Rebirth-Potions. I already took my big earners off my wood plots and back on Grain. Still selling all my wood right away, but might consider starting to hoard some, soon - just in case. Maybe when the price goes under 60 DEC.

0.000

@azircon 78

13 days ago

60DEC should be one more day.

0.000

@beelzael 74

13 days ago

before the surge, it was 57 DEC. So maybe that might be a good mark. It will probably drop below that, as there are be a few land owners who fired up their wood plots - from 21M/Day before to 24M/day now, so around 15% more production, and not much to absorb it.

The whole trajectory of land in 2025 leaves me quite bullish, though. So I might build out my resource stash a little, just in case 2026 is similar or maybe better.

0.000

@mineopoly 71

13 days ago

I'm glad to here the news the Praetoria has a wood. Many others in the world are lacking in this area.

0.000

@beaker007 75

12 days ago

Love seeing those supply charts 😍

I also really like the idea of a Glint building as an additional source of resource demand. What we really need is steady, sustainable demand, not the sharp spikes we’re seeing now. Those spikes feel good short term, but long term they can actually make things worse because they trigger increased production, exactly what we’re seeing play out.

We discussed this in the Team Possible chat, and Aftersound also touched on it in a recent video, it’s resonating with more people. I know it would be another detour for Land 2.0, but honestly, it’s an idea I find very appealing. Of course, the math would need to be worked out carefully, but as a player, it definitely hits a nerve in a good way.

Curious to hear your opinion on this.

0.000

@azircon 78

12 days ago

Yes, both Vugtis and I talked about this for months. We both like a sustainable demand as opposed to spikes

0.000

@kgakakillerg -11

11 days ago

Hello everyone I hope you are all good and well today please read this 👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾👇🏾

👺👺👹👹👹👹👹

If you are suffering from mental health issues please get help 🙏🏾

Please take a look 👇🏾 I only posted this because @oldsoulnewb thinks I'm scared or broken or something I don't know what he thinks but all i can do is laugh 😂 and share the truth 🙏🏾

kgakakillerg evidence

Hello everyone I hope you are all good and well today as we get closer to the new year I'm feeling fantastic today I was up and out early had a nice little jog and a great workout at the gym I also done some bag work 🥊

When I got back I had a few things to do I'm only really sharing this because of this racist weirdo on Hive who really thinks downvotes and word's do anything all I can do is laugh 😂 and share the truth and we all know when your lying the truth hurts

Some try to say that downvotes are good for Hive but what good had come out of downvoting good honest people away 🤔

You some stupid whales on Hive trying to get others to promote Hive like it's something good and offers freedom when we all know it doesn't offer no freedom unless you are part of the gang ⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕⭕

Here's some screenshots you might find very Interesting I only work with facts not made up stuff 😂

Anyone can talk shit 💩 it means nothing when there's evidence that shows the truth 😁

kgakakillerg evidence it's over themarkymark

kgakakillerg evidence

kgakakillerg evidence it's themarkymark

kgakakillerg evidence it's over themarkymark

@steevc please tell your friends to stop downvoting my original content please 🙏🏾

Blocktrades Aka @themarkymark Aka @buildawhale @punkteam @usainvote @gogreenbuddy @letsusbuyhive @jacobtothe please stop downvoting my original content I'm not going to reply to your abusive comments as that is what you enjoy doing seems like you have a lot of free time

Please explain why you keep downvoting my original content 🤔 if you aren't blocktrades then why doesn't he do something your blatant abuse 😂 also why would you be sending all that Hive with buildawhale to alpha an account that is blocktrades wife 😂😂😂

@crimsonclad please do your job 🙏🏾

https://hive.blog/hive-135178/@crimsonclad/re-kgakakillerg-sxllhv

https://hive.blog/hive-148441/@hivewatchers/svftu9

https://hive.blog/hive-148441/@hivewatchers/svdjjz

https://hive.blog/hive-176853/@steevc/re-kgakakillerg-syyy4x

https://hive.blog/dev/@howo/re-kgakakillerg-szhax7

https://hive.blog/hive/@steevc/follow-friday-respect

https://hive.blog/hive-127022/@shmoogleosukami/re-kgakakillerg-t0hcxc

It's unbelievable that they downvoted this Goodbye Auntie R.I.P 🙏🏾

Comments being downvoted by blocktrades https://hive.blog/hive-170744/@kgakakillerg/t0ns3b

https://hive.blog/hive-127466/@steevc/re-blocktrades-t0kint

https://hive.blog/hive-127466/@blocktrades/t0lq41