How Much Would it Cost to Become a Whale in the Sunset Sale?

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Splinterlands is in the midst of a promotional sale to sell out the last of the Chaos Legion packs.

Here's a link with all the official details

https://peakd.com/hive-13323/@splinterlands/splinterlands-chaos-legion-lets-sunset-in-style

There are currently 182,964 packs remaining

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Because pack sales had slowed down these are being burned at a rate of 25,000 packs per day, and the next burn will take place within the next few hours, so the set will be sold out by this time next week.

In order to ensure that you win 100 land plots it would be possible to buy enough packs to make it impossible for anyone else on the leaderboard to pass you up, and here's how much it would cost.

182,964 remaining packs plus 8,400 packs purchased by @spswhale (the current lead purchaser in the sunset sale)= 191,364/2 = 95,682 packs to ensure that @spswhale can't have more than you.

packs cost 4,000 credits or 4,000 DEC in the shop and for purchases over 2,000 you can get 20% bonus packs for the low low price of 1 voucher each.

95,682/1.2 = 79,735

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So you could buy 79,735 packs with DEC for 79,735 x 4,000 DEC = 318,940,000 DEC x $0.747/1,000 DEC = $238,248.18

which would allow you to get 15,947 bonus packs with vouchers for 15,947 x $0.089/voucher = $1,419.283

$238,248.18 +
$1,419.283 = $239,667.463

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If you immediately flipped those resources on the secondary market, you would get

95,682 packs x $2.32/pack = $221,982.24 +
100 land plots x $128.55/plot = $12,855
for a grand total of $234,837.24

It's not quite dead even, but there is a reasonable expectation that you would be able to sell those packs for a tidy profit in the near future.

It wasn't that long ago that packs were selling on the secondary market for more than $2.50 but there's no guarantee for when they'll go back over that price or if they ever will again. I do expect that the price will go back over $2.50 but I am not offering financial advice. There are currently more than 3 million unopened packs in circulation.

If nobody else buys more than 1,000 packs, the top 10 leaderboard will not change and @spswhale will make out like a bandit.

Their 8,400 packs have a face value of 8,400 x $2.32/pack = $18,732
Their 100 land plots will have the face value of 100 x $128.55 = $12,855 for a total of $31,587 and they would have only spent $21,040.60 for their packs if the prices on DEC and vouchers were similar to their current prices. That's about 50% profit.

The current second place position is @kocinear with 7,100 packs which will "win" them 50 land plots. Those packs and plots will be worth $22,899.50 and they would have only spent $17,784.32 if they bought with similar DEC and voucher prices. That's nearly 30% profit.

The current third place position is @bcarolan639 with 6,923 packs which will "win" them the remaining 25 land plots. Those packs and plots will be worth $19,275.11 and they would have only spent $17,340.96 if they bought with similar DEC and voucher prices. That's more than 10% profit, but starting to look a little more modest.

I don't know what Runis are worth or if they can even be sold on the secondary market, so I won't work out numbers for the rest of the top ten.

Are any of you whales gunning to "win" prizes in the sunset sale? What are your expectations for returns? What do you think will happen with the price of Chaos packs on the secondary market after the Splinterlands store sells out next week?

I hope this post has been helpful and informative. Thanks for reading and thanks for all the upvotes, reblogs, comments and follows. I'll see you in the game. If you're interested in starting your own Splinterlands adventure feel free to use my affiliate link to get started https://splinterlands.com?ref=jingo-submo PeakD is a terrific site for learning more about the game and the market.



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