What should you do in Splinterlands when everything in the Market turns RED?

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(Edited)

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So we just had another RED Market day on the Hive-Engine and although RED indicators are usually bad, on the Hive-Engine it usually indicates something else.

Hive is Pumping

Yeah, when I see RED my first instinct is to check the price of Hive, because if you didn't know all trades on the Hive-Engine are made with Hive. So if Hive goes UP, then technically the amount of Hive you pay for the same dollar value goes down.

Thus, causing the market indicators to change to RED.

For instance, in the chart above you can see that DEC is still solid at $0.01041 and yet it's in the RED and same with SPS which is still solid at $0.602. It's just you pay less Hive now for that same amount of DEC and SPS before the pump.

Just relax, this is actually good

So now you've slowed your breathing, what you actually do next could determine if you make money or totally miss an opportunity.

But, you might not have long because when you see a chart go vertical without a solid announcement from the community, it's more like a temporary pump, which is likely to go back down, just as fast.

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So act fast and don't be hanging around for it to moon. Because it might have already.

So is buying Splinterlands cards a good idea now?

Well I don't usually buy cards during these market conditions because if we look at the price of DEC, $0.01041 it hasn't actually gone up or down in pure dollar value, so there might not be as many bargains as you might expect.

Of course, if you ever see a hugely undervalued card, you should always considering buying it, if nothing else to just relist at the current market price for a small profit.

Should I convert my Hive to Splinterlands credits?

Well, if you're like me you're probably still up in the air about the Chaos Legions pre-sale but converting your spare Hive to a stable coin isn't a bad idea. However, converting it to 'Splinterlands Credits' kinda locks you into buying their packs of cards (which don't exist right now) or single cards on the markets. So converting to Credits doesn't offer you many purchase options aside from that.

Plus, there will be a 10% Discount with SPS purchases and not credits during the CL pre-sale so being invested in SPS is a much better place to be right now.

But if you want to take profit and convert your spare Hive into a stable coin that's what the Hive Backed Dollar (HBD) is there for. Typically, it's stable around $1, and you can actually trade out of it on major exchanges when you don't need that safe haven anymore.
Then you can buy what ever you want.

Even CREDITS if you're feeling a little FOMO.

Dang then should I buy more DEC?

Well, actually this isn't a bad idea because 1000 DEC only costs 9.1 Hive right now, whereas before the pump, you were paying closer to 14 Hive per 1000 DEC.

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Similarly, SPS seems like a solid way to convert your Hive, because it too will give you more bang for your buck (or Hive).

In fact, Plots, Packs, and SPT will all yield better returns for your Hive during the pump. As long as the price you see today, is similar to the price it was yesterday.

So how long will these opportunities last?

I suspect not very long.

You see, even if this is a sustained pump or price increase, the Hive-Engine markets will continue to move in the direction they were before the pump. So any bargains will quickly evaporate and then I expect the market indicators will start to turn GREEN.

Of course, if that happens the first thing to check is the Hive Price again, to make sure the coin isn't being dumped. And if not then maybe it's time to sell and take advantage of those higher prices.

Now none of this is financial advice, just more like common sense. Never spend more than you can afford to loose, and don't be surprised if that PUMP turns to a DUMP just as quickly.
But hopefully you can make a few dollars along the way.

Let me know in the comments what you do when you see a huge PUMP in the Hive price?



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10 comments
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Yippee!! Wonderful post! I can't wait to share my news today!! ;) Thanks, Random, for all your help!

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I can't wait to hear what you did during the pump :)

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Well, if it wasn't for your help, I wouldn't have KNOWN about it so thank you!! I'll be sharing this blog in my post today; it's great!

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Amazing Post! Thank you for explaining the HIVE pump! Very helpful! You've been upvoted by rosiew.
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Well I know this much - it's certainly not a time to sell your HE tokens for Hive!

I know a few people that have literally just bought hundreds of thousands of credits reserved for their CL packs. That's not a bad move, it's safe.

But personally I've personally bought a tiny little bit more DEC, and rather than credits I've got some liquid SPS and DEC I'm planning on using for my CL purchase, I can't see them going down before I buy.

but I'm quite happy with the amounts of both SPS and DEC and most other HE tokens I've got.

If I wanted more HE tokens then now is a pretty good time to buy, but I've extracted the liquid Hive I've got, lower buy orders in waiting for when it inevitably comes back down again. When that will be I don't know, but it will!

Exciting times!

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Yeah the peeps who bought, millions of credits to get ready for the CL pre-sale are probably kicking themselves right now.
It's all about SPS and DEC. And that 10% SPS discount is a nice problem to have. Like will you actually spend SPS, when you could continue to get vouchers if you don't?

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I was quite fortunate to catch that post early on about vouchers and immediately bough 12k SPS at around 30 then staked all of it. Now I'm just keeping my daily drops liquid intending to use it to buy 500 packs.

I should get enough vouchers to buy 500, just about. I might go for 1000 but the price has to be right for buying vouchers, my gut feeling is not to fomo - just buy 500 and sell the rest of my liquid SPS in the first half of the pre-sale.

I imagine it will go back down to around 30 cents after, I might be wrong of course, hence why I'm staking some too.

I'd like 300K SPS once the drop has finished by next Autumn, I'd be happy with that.

I'm having to give myself a talking to every week to force myself to take something out. Splinterlands has already 10 Xd for me, and when we're getting dropped this much taking out less than $20K over the year would be criminal.

I mean at current prices, that's less than 20% of earnings! But it's still hard to resist not ploughing everything back in. But 80-20 is still pretty hardcore.

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Great explanations, enjoyed reading your thoughts. Have a few questions: Couldn't this be related to Peakmonsters running out of Resource Credits recently? Maybe a price floor has been broken, and we wont see HIVE below 1$ again?

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(Edited)

I honestly think that the HIVE will drop from its actual price (1.1 USD) in about a week: probably a HUGE amount of Hive Power is currently being powered-down due the price mooning, and when the first batch of Liquid HIVE arrives, people will dump those to make a quick buck.

In the other hand, I don't think it's price will come back to the older values of around ~0.6 USD. The whole Hive network is expanding (mainly due Splinterlands), and thus it makes sense for the token price to increase over time.

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very nice post and analysis for hive pump and dump... thank you!

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