RE: Future of @splinterlands Among Bitcoin Runes, LeoDEX and a Changing Industry
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:) I think, in this circle or at the beginning of the bear part in the next year, we will see plenty collapsing projects.
The better ones will stay alive, so they will have 'season'. They already have anyway.
I just started to separate chains, tokens by fully diluted MC / DAU. well, based on that, Hive is still over-valued compared to top ones... + the other well-known problems.
Probably this time will be a bit different, and finding the winners, I assume, max couple of dozens, will pay off much better. And there will be huge gap between them and others.
Actually, better ones, real ones are doing their first spike already...
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Bad projects are eventually going to fail. There will be a handful of winners in every category and the rest will bite the dust. This is the same both inside and outside of cryptosphere. Money supply grew by 40% during the last few years. Once you adjust for inflation, I don't think $BTC even made and ATH.
Did the DAU only include those who post content? If not, it is very concerning. You should write an article on this data.
I just follow dalz here, and his statistics. I just approximetly counted with post and comment data from his stats. (since voting includes plenty autovoters, i think, that's irrelevant)
Based on that, DAU around 6k on Hive, so MC/DAU is $27k what is still better than plenty well-known chains, but much higher than top ones. At least, in this point of view, Hive is not so behind the top ones, but counting the other problems (and knowing, most active users on Hive from the so called 3rd world), it doesn't look good either.
One you factor in custom JSON transactions the DAU count goes up. Currently there are 108K accounts playing @splinterlands and is the #15 DAPP by Unique Active Wallets: https://dappradar.com/rankings
I know that, but I don't know it's just splinterlands or other things (games?), too.
however, at current phase, i consider splinterlands (most games on Hive), as a downward pressure on Hive price. Many people disappointed in nft games, and leaving, moving their money to other projects. However, they can cash out only in Hive...
top of that, there are plenty bots and huge account networks over there, so we just cannot be sure about real DAU numbers.
There are many bots, but what matter the most is the amount that get invested into the game. LeoDEX has enabled SPS swaps and soon there will be DEC and other popular assets available for swaps.