How to dominate Bronze 3, 12 Mana battles! Startercards Metadeck analysis

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Here are the most common starter cards deck that I have seen over time, if I missed one, tell me in the comments and I might update it, when the deck is worth covering.

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ShortcodeSummonerPosition 1Position 2Position 3Position 4Position 5
D1Thaddius BroodCarrion ShadeCursed SlimeballDeath ElementalLife Sapper
D2Thaddius BroodCursed WindekuCarrion ShadeCursed Slimeball
D3Thaddius BroodCursed WindekuUndead Badger
D4Contessa L'amentCursed WindekuDeath Elemental
D5Contessa L'amentCursed WindekuLife Sapper
W1Kelya FrendulAlbatrossChaos AgentRiver NymphIce Pixie
W2Kelya FrendulCruel SethropodAngelic MandarinIce Pixie
W3Kelya FrendulHardy StonefishAlbatrossDeeplurker
W4Kelya FrendulHardy StonefishAlbatrossChaos AgentAngelic MandarinIce Pixie
G1Drake of ArnakCarrion ShadeCursed SlimeballDeath ElementalLife Sapper
G2Drake of ArnakCursed WindekuCarrion ShadeCursed Slimeball
G3Drake of ArnakCursed WindekuUndead Badger
F1PyreLiving LavaGoblin Fireballer
F2PyreAntoid PlatoonXenith ArcherScavo Hireling
F3PyreAntoid PlatoonDjinn Apprentice
F4TarsaLiving LavaRadiated Scorcher
E1ObsidianMycelic MorphoidRegal PerytonKhmer Princess
E2Wizard of EastwoodMycelic MorphoidMycelic Infantry
L1General SloanChaos KnightHerbalist
L2Mother KhalaChaos KnightStitch Leech
L3Mother KhalaBlinding ReflectorGargoya ScrapperStitch LeechCelestial Harpy

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To master the 12 Mana battles we have to find out how those teams fare against each other. To achieve that I used Splintertools.io new custom battle training tool to analyze the matchups. I rounded to 0.1 steps so it doesn't get bloated. So some 100% win chance fights might be 3-4% battles for the weaker team not 0% fights.

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D1D2D3D4D5W1W2W3W4G1G2G3F1F2F3F4E1E2L1L2L3Winrate
D1x0.200.20.2111110.2011111111069.00%
D20.8x010000.5000.200010.10.300.90.5131.50%
D311x110.70.90.30.500.100.3110.21011165.00%
D40.800x011110.5101110.500.510.30.761.50%
D50.8101x1101111111101110.782.50%
W1010.300x011010.4111100.711057.00%
W2010.1001x1100.80.10.8100.500.510.4046.00%
W300.50.70100x0000110100.1110.740.00%
W4010.500001x01​0.2111100.710.4048.00%
G10110.501111x11111101110.278.50%
G20.80.80.90000.2100x0.80000.6000.61138.50%
G3111100.60.910.800.2x0.1110.60.1011166.50%
F1010.70000.200010.9x1000110.1139.50%
F20100000000100x000000010.00%
F300000011001011x0.400.510.30.136.50%
F400.90.80.5000.50000.40.4110.6x000.70.6142.00%
E100.70111111110.91111x1110.284.00%
E20110.500.30.50.90.3011010.510x10.6158.00%
L100.10000000000.400100.30x0114.00%
L200.500.7000.600.60000.910.70.400.41x139.00%
L31000.30.3110.310.800010.900.8000x42.00%

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Notable:
Power of Speed:
D4/D5 vs W3, 1 speed makes all the difference Death elemental gets 1 attack of before Deeplurker kills it, Life Sapper dies without firing this turn a nearly 100% win into a 100% loss.

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Clearly Obsidian is the best team possible in a vacuum, but since the meta is so thaddius heavy and obsidan is basically dead in the water against it it's hard to choose obsidian.

So let's reduce the table to only include the strongest decks.

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D1D3D5G1G3E1Winrate
D1x00.210144.00%
D31x100160.00%
D50.80x11056.00%
G1010x1040.00%
G31100x0.142.00%
E100110.9x58.00%

So the strongest deck now is the meta deck aka D3, counters are both Arnak decks due to the armor, that's why G3 is, in my opinion, the second most played decked. So what beats D3 and G3, you got its G1. So is G1 the best deck? No! Is it the best deck in the current meta? I think so!

Should you blindly spam G1? Hell, no. Try to switch it up at times and keep a close eye on potential meta changes. Keep in mind the Rock-Paper-Scissor wheel.
Thaddius > Obsidian > Arnak > Thaddius

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