Splinternomics: are you buying packs or monsters?

in LeoFinance2 months ago

Since the Liquidity thingy, DEC has seen a substantial pump in the value. Thanks to the situation, I've been doing a lot of stacking lately and since I'm focusing my attention on second-layer tokens that can be used for aggressive curation, I have been using ranked battles to accumulate.

image.png

I've been doing a small comparison between the benefit of buying packs in-game(Dice or Untamed), as against spending the same amount on a card and here's what I found.

Dicey Situation

Let's start with Dice since it is the most expensive pack. One dice costs 3000 DEC flat, however, depending on the rank of your guild, you will get a discount. However, for this situation, let's assume it is 3K DEC. The opening of a pack is like rolling a dice, and you never know what you'll get but for the sake of this post, let's say you get one rare summoner and a bunch of commons(without using potions). Cost of earning= $0.71-0.8 range.

At the current price of DEC, 3k DEC is around 15 hive and at 15cents per hive, that's like $2.25. Well, you can't buy any Legendary dice monster with that amount; the cheapest legendary dice monster is Caladuum and that one is around $3.2. However, with that amount, here are some legendary untamed monsters you can buy;

Vigilator: $2.3

image.png

Dragon Jumper: $2.28

image.png

Magnor: $2.05

image.png

Untamed problem

Untamed packs cost 2k DEC flat, and at the current price of DEC, that amounts to roughly 10 hive, which is about $1.5. Just like Dices, it is a random event and you have to be really lucky to get legendary monsters in one go.

In reality, opening an untamed pack without potions generally gives you rewards in the $0.3-0.5 range. Only in rarities do you actually get a legendary card. Sp, that means you spend $1.5 for those cheap cards? Here are some monsters you can buy with $1.5;

Gloridax Magus: $1.45

image.png

Diamond Dragon: $1.4

image.png

So, again I ask, is it worth it? With the price of DEC so high, the only way that buying packs can be justified, is if there's wicked inflation in the general price of monsters.

The Counter

The counter for this view is that, well, Gold foils could be in the packs. The odds of getting one gold foiled legendary or epic are slim, I think it is like 1/40 packs opened for Legendary and 1/30 range for epic gf.

Assuming you buy 40 packs at 80k DEC, that is around 400hive, which translates to $60 range. You could theoretically get you some gems. Here are the prices of some legendary Gold Foils;

Magnor: $99

image.png

Scale Doctor: $60

image.png

Chain Golem: $49

image.png

For Dice Packs

With the same calculation, you will spend 120k DEC for 40 dice packs, which amounts to 625 hive or $94 range. Here are the golf foil legendaries you could find

Lens Master: $298

image.png

Kralus: $58

image.png

Caladuum: $50

image.png

In Summary

It is up to you to decide how you want to go about it. Personally, I'm leaning towards buying individual monsters, rather than buying packs because of the random nature of it. There's actually no assurance that opening 40 packs with or without potions will earn you a gold foil legendary or epic.

At the current price of DEC, I think it is better to buy individual monsters than to spend on packs. In fact, the only reason why anyone should be buying pacls right now, is if you want to increase your chance of benefitting from the airdrop.

Get In The Game

If you enjoyed this postand would like to join the game, you can join with my affiliate link below and we'd both stand the chance of getting a gold foiled legendary monster that could be worth like $100

https://splinterlands.com?ref=belemo






I will write blog posts about, Finance, Fintech, blockchain and cryptocurrency


Link to gig

All I need is a topic, tone of the post and any extra information you'd like me to add. If you choose to patronise me, I assure you that all our conversations will be kept private.

I will write insightful football articles

image.png
Link to gig

Contact me

image.png

If you would like to patronise me or have any suggestions for me, please leave a comment with your contact information or reach me through any of the following channels;


Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

Sort:  

I have been buying mostly single cards from the market since the Alpha and it has been a great strategy so far. Pretty much all of my cards have appreciated in price since then. I am not much of a gambler with packs. I did the same with DICE cards and it was soooo much cheaper than buying them unopened.

MonsterCurationFlauwy.png

monstermarket.png

Nice. I hardly buy cards, just prefer packs because if the thrill of the randomness.

I bought a few beta and alpha cards but nothing substantial. My deck is filled with untamed and reward cards.

Cards over monsters for sure.

The pack buying rate must have plummeted, it's been ages since the last airdrop!

I think there are fewer DICE than BETA packs so that will affect the price!

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

Yeah. You can't even get a beta pack in-game, only through Hive-engine. There's a thrill in opening packs for me. The gambler in me likes the randomness

Untamed problem

You can buy Untamed pack from Hive-engine at 40% discount (6 Hive), but it will not be counted for airdrops.

I also do not open packs.

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

There's no point in buying a pack that won't be counted for airdrops you know?

Airdrop is again a gamble only. I get 0 airdrop for 330 packs and 1 for 550 Packs because at that time they guaranteed 1 for 400 pack purchase.

so tell me how does not it make a point to buy from market?

lol okao when you put it like that then getting from the market makes far moree sense

Friend, You have always heard the "triumph" stories , that they get GFL in 25 packs , or they get lucky with just 5-10 packs buy.

Nobody pen down the stories of such unfavorable luck and I do not think I might be alone.

Oh you're not alone. A lot of my friends tell me about their hard luck. I've experienced but bad and good luck in the packs.

I had this hunch back from Magic the Gathering days, buying cards is a better option than buying packs as a smart investment. The only upside from packs for me is using all the potions I got stacked.
Thanks a lot for this interesting entry!

Asset 2.png

Your post is wonderful and that's why it has been manually curated for #adiwathrive by @acurewa

Asset 2.png

mono1 1.jpg

Our project seeks to motivate our community to develop content in different branches of life. It doesn't matter if you speak English or Spanish, our foundation is based on the principles of balance, harmony and consciousness. Click here if you want to know more here

Our account is supported by LOTUS, so we also reward with the lotus token.

DELEGATE to @adiwathrive and receive our support with upvotes, reblogs, mentions and contests where you can win in HIVE and more.

We also recommend you to follow @naturalmedicine and @tribesteemup communities that inspire personal growth.