A Look At The DEC Inflation | The Splinterlands Reward Token

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Splinterlands continues its run, ranking as the number one app in all crypto in the last weeks, according to dappradar.

The Splinterlands DEC token has been a challenge to track. There are quite a lot of mechanics, reward pools and even more ways to burn the token.

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Just to mention a few ways DEC is being created:

  • reward pool for wining battles
  • reward pool for quests
  • reward pool for liquidity providers
  • DEC created from burning cards

On the burn side, DEC is usually burnt for some of the in-game purchase like the dice edition of cards, guilds upgrades, skins etc. Not sure is there some DEC burning for the land.
Plus, DEC lives on multiple chains, Hive, Ethereum, BSC, plus the in game DEC hold by players.

The price of the DEC is loosely pegged for the 1000 DEC per 1$, but we are seeing now that it has lost its peg on the up side, going as high as x10 of its peg.

Method. For the data presented here I have been using the issued and burnt DEC on Hive Engine, and additionally double check it with the api data in the last few weeks. The queries are on the bottom of the post.

We will be looking at:

  • Daily and monthly DEC created
  • Daily and monthly DEC burned
  • DEC created VS burnt
  • DEC created from different pools
  • DEC supply

We will be looking at the data only for 2021 only, from January to October 4th.

DEC Created

First for the amount of DEC created. Here is the chart for the daily data.

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We can see the massive growth of DEC created in the second half of August 2021. This has happened mostly because of the increase in the price of DEC. Since then it seems that the printing is showing small signs of slowing down.

The get a better representation here is the monthly chart.

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Until July, the monthly inflation was around 27M. Starting from August the monthly DEC inflation is more than 300M per month. More then 1B DEC was created in the last four months.

DEC Burned

DEC is not like the standard crypto tokens. A lot of it is getting burned for in game assets purchases and it is something that need to be taken into consideration. Here is the daily data.

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We can see the up trend in July and August, and then almost no burns. This shows that most of the burns happen mainly because of the DICE packs buying’s. After they were sold out there are almost no burns.

Here is the monthly chart.

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June, July and August are between 80M to 90M burned and a sharp drop since then. Again this is because of the sell out of the DICE edition.

There should be a new mini edition, probably at the end of October, or later, that will start burning more DEC.

DEC Created VS Burned

When we put the numbers for created and burnt, we got this.

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We can see the DEC expansion in the last two months here as well.

The log chart for created vs burnt looks like this.

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The yellow line is burnt, and the blue DEC created.

DEC Supply

Here is the chart for the DEC supply in 2021.

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This chart probably shows the DEC supply in the best way.

We can see that over 2021, until June the DEC supply was slowly going up in a steady way. Then in June it started decreasing, because of the increased popularity of the game and more DICE buying. After the DICE packs were sold out, combined with the high DEC price, the supply of the DEC token started expanding at a rapid rate.

At the start of 2021, the supply of DEC was around 600M, and now it is around 1.8B or x3 since the start of the year. In the last months more than 300M DEC per month was added. Will see how things go after this, and after the introduction of a new packs mini edition that is specialized in burning DEC.

At the end a note that holding DEC gives users a SPS airdrop, so the price of DEC is a function from the SPS price, and the DEC supply.

All the best
@dalz

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta



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17 comments
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Wow Man! Superb post, this explains so many things... By the way DEC is the asset that allows one to get more SPS in the airdrop. The only thing we have to do is believe in the project and see how it evolves! By the way I am also creating content trying to help new players to survive in the jungle. Any help would be welcome! https://www.splintertalk.io/@beffeater/next-steps-considering-sps-and

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Excellent visual representation of what's going on behind the scenes in the DEC market.

What's your opinion on whether DEC will actually return to its soft peg?

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta

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Cant really tell .... I imagen after the SPS airdrop is done it will be challenging, but then if more use cases are added, like the dice edition or something else it can maintain the price ... also its tied with the overall economy in game

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Good post, I got new view for this token, thanks a lot!

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Great article!!

Regarding the large DEC burnt in Jun to Aug, I agree is largely due to FOMO of the Dice Packs, but I think the sharp drop following is also due to the high value of DEC as people are more reluctant to spend DEC on guild buildings. When DEC value was low, people were willing to spend Fiat buying DEC to upgrade guild buildings. As majority of people still value crypto in Fiat, when DEC value shot up, people were more reluctant to spend like $1,000 to upgrade guild buildings. Coupled with DEC being the best way to get SPS airdrops, people were just less willing to spend it in-game.

Maybe something you can also include in your analysis is how much DEC was transferred out of the game, as the higher DEC value will encourage more people to cash in their profits as well.
!LOLZ

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Why did the coffee go to the police?
Because it was mugged.

@dalz, I sent you an $LOLZ on behalf of @boboman
Use the !LOL or !LOLZ command to share a joke and an $LOLZ. (1/4)

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Thanks!

Maybe something you can also include in your analysis is how much DEC was transferred out of the game, as the higher DEC value will encourage more people to cash in their profits as well.

I do something like this for SPS, I can get the transfers out easily, the transfers in can be a bit tricky ....

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I think I read some of your work on SPS as well which was very insightful as well. You might need to work on the assumption that DEC transfers out would be considered leaving the SPL ecosystem, thus driving the low burn rate.

Would looking at the Fiat value of DEC burn show a more accurate representation?

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In otherwords stock up everything you can till the end part of the next dice packs run ;)

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It will be interesting when that collection is live :)

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Keep in mind this ramp up in supply maybe due to setting up for the side set that is coming up and to allow for quantities to match to create more access for the general masses. Even though my collection too a steep loss I love the direction Splinterlands is taking with everything.

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Interesting analysis and a great read. And thanks for the reblog (:

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You are welcome .... great to see you posting agaim and great tutorial!

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Interesting research. Will its price continue to fall?

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