Long closed, but ready to open

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On the 8th of December, a little over a week away, just over 1,000,000 Chaos Legion packs will be opened.

Expect a flood of excited Splinterlands posts all over the platform.

This is a massive moment for the game and incredibly important, as there is 15,000,000 more packs to be sold and this opening essentially showcases most of the cards and their attributes that will be on offer (minus the "special" cards that are emitted with every 1M packs sold) and this is going to heavily inform buyers of their upcoming purchases. If the cards are on average competitive with older releases, this could be a "cheap" way for players to up their Leagues, so it can influence buyer reasoning to drop a bit more into the game. If there are only a few key cards that are competitive, it might slow sales of packs, with people hoping to get individual cards on the secondary markets.

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While this is "just a game" it is also influenced predominantly by the potential to invest, own and trade, making the economy of it the most important facet for the majority of players. This is of course also influenced by the fact that the majority of players are also crypto seasoned to some degree, so are accustomed to considering the tokenization factors in play and evaluating how it is "best" for them to act in order to maximize their experience.

And speaking of experience, this is one of the values of Hive as a content delivery blockchain with a blogging aspect tailored in, as it allows for communities to gather and share experiences, learn from others and build understanding and connections amongst the community itself. And, because when done on the blockchain this is transparent, it allows for all kinds of users to come together and discuss from their own perspectives and get feedback from others from theirs.

For example for me as someone who has been active on Hive in many ways for a long time, I have only just got into Splinterlands in the last six months. This has meant that I have spent time learning about it, playing and investing quite heavily into the economy of the game and since I write from my own experiences, this has resulted in me posting about Splinterlands. Because of this, I have connected with people who I have known for a long time and interacted with, but now through a different framework of shared experience. It has also brought SL gamers that previously weren't attracted to what I might have to say as it doesn't relate directly to the things that they are interested in and as such, I have extended my viewership a little and we have been able to interact together and learn from each other.

this has been interesting for me as I think (I am biased) that my content is generally interesting to most people, because it speaks at a general level and what I try to do, is provide layers of perspective. Depending on the level at which someone wants to dive, they are able to hopefully find something that helps them, even if it is not directly related to what they are doing.

As I see it, there is a lot of overlap everywhere, yet if we stay narrow and more literal, we miss a lot of the connection between. For me for example, the reason I didn't get into Splinterlands much earlier, was because of my simplistic view of it being a game and, I not being a gamer anymore. As such, I didn't dive into the tokenomics of it, which is something I (probably obviously) love. The problem was, I was coming from the wrong frame of mind, focusing on the play-to-earn and buy-and-sell of it, rather than the far more interesting (for me) economics and behavioral facets of the game.

This is my failure of course, but it is also the failure of how it was initially presented to me, as it didn't capture my attention at a level that was compelling. This is very much like what I have said about how most people try to get people into crypto now and especially in the past, where the framing is wrong for the audience. Also, it set up a position that made me discount the game early, closing myself off to it, even though development was consistently taking place to expand the game and economy to flesh it into a broader experience, one that I do find copelling.

I think over the years, I have made this same mistake with the way I have tried to introduce people into Hive, as I have framed it in a way that is compelling to me, but not necessarily to them. Plus, I look long, meaning that when they are coming in and evaluating whether they will "play or not", they don't see the future I see, in much the same way I didn't see the future that @abh12345, @mattclarke or later @azircon saw in Splinterlands - I was urged over and over to take part, but I behaved like a stereotypical no-coiner - ignorant of the development process and unwilling to do my own research.

Which is unforgiveable and I should be punished.

I have been punished.

I had my potential trimmed so that rather than being amongst the earliest of adopters, I was (at this point in time) late majority and as such, cannot benefit to the same percentage as those earlier. But, I that is late majority now, which is effectively early adopter five years from now, much like someone who had the opportunity to buy bitcoin at 10 dollars, but ended up buying at 1000 dollars instead.

Now that I am involved, I see that there is still a lot of potential for growth because there is a lot of interest and development taking place. Combine this with the confluence of crypto adoption, the turning focus toward usable NFTs and the state of the world in general, and the future of Splinterlands looks bright. Yes, there is still investment risk as always, but also as always, the potential for reward has to inform the willingness to take the risk.

Am I stupid for not having invested? Yes. And no. Perhaps if I had I would have been one of the many early sellers as the game was too simplistic and the economy not full enough to hold my attention. Also, it isn't like not investing into Splinterlands meant I was doing nothing else. I am not exactly a no-coiner in crypto, I was just a no-SL-coiner. I was highly active in other areas so the opportunity-cost of non-participation is offset by gains in other areas. Having said that though, a hybrid approach might have yielded the greatest return for me, based on how I value my writing and experience within the community.

But, if you made it this far, you might realize that this post like most of my posts, is embedded and layered, so that depending on your frame of reading, you will be able to take something from it and hopefully apply it to your own circumstances to improve your experience. This is one of the many values of the blogging side of Hive, which unlike Splinterlands, is something that hasn't passed me by.

On the 8th I will get to open the 1306 Chaos Legion packs I have bought and at that point I will decide whether I am buying 100, 1000 or 5000 more of the coming emissions. I believe there will be plenty of opportunity for people to buy, but the first few millions of packs in the open sale might go very fast indeed.

The other thing that is going to move fast on the 8th, is the amount of Chaos Legion Presale posts analyzing and showcasing openings - so be prepared. I might even do on of my own.

Taraz
[ Gen1: Hive ]

Posted Using LeoFinance Beta



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40 comments
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The last post of your word is what meaning? I don't know that ( G1 = Hive)

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First generation. Old timer. O.G. Original Gangsta. Kind of thing :0)

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First Generation Hive. I assume one day, that there won't be nearly as many people who existed "before Hive" - they will have new Hive accounts.

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I'm waiting for them and I think lot of others as well are

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Yeah, there are many get pretty excited. Pity it is a work day!

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Don't worry you will make it ☺️

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Maybe I feel a sore throat coming on... ;D

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I had my potential trimmed so that rather than being amongst the earliest of adopters, I was (at this point in time) late majority and as such, cannot benefit to the same percentage as those earlier. But, I that is late majority now, which is effectively early adopter five years from now, much like someone who had the opportunity to buy bitcoin at 10 dollars, but ended up buying at 1000 dollars instead.

It is either you gain buying when cheaper than when it's high because the Crypto price is never stable and for such to occur one need to be an active user on the blockchain to monitor the fluctuation price.

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I think with any investment, it is good to be attentive.

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I might be tempted to do a post myself and I don't think I ever have done a splinterlands post!

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You should do a post boomy. Probably multiple, from your perspective

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I might try. At least something in passing!

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Can't wait to see the gaming version of you.

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You should. With a Boom Spin, entertainment is guaranteed!

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Lol. I will try I am sure. Everyone else will be!

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whether I am buying 100, 1000 or 5000 more of the coming emissions.

Nice to hear that you will leave a few packs for me.😜

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Ha! I am not sure if there will be enough for me!

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It's often hard to see the future of a project unless you are right in the middle of it.
The game spend years slowly building until the playtoearn movement exploded this year.
It's a pity that you missed the first wave but its still so early that the chaos sale will be a great chance to be part of the next one.

Just make sure to buy enough packs. 👍

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I missed by choice at the end of the day - I had plenty of opportunity, including free entry, promo packs and the like :D Let's see where it is in 5 years. Will I be rich, or destitute?

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You wont be destitute anyway. If splinterlands goes 100x, then it will have a huge effect on the whole eco-system.

Success by proxy.

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This is what people need to think about more too - Hive is an ecosystem of platforms, all interrelated and working together to add value, even if not directly.

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It's the combined effect of everything built here that will bring success. Every app that grows or joins will bring more with them.

It's great to see the system compound in real time.

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I can say that most of your posts gives informations about HIVE blockchain. Besides, we comment and discuss various subject under your posts.

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I like how so many topics can tie into aspects of Hive. I think it is a good sign as to how broad the economy is here.

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(Edited)

Yes, there will be a flood of posts about cards. But even more important there need to be posts about new strategies and economy. There have been some major changes coming up.

I will give you a basic example. Before rental was offered from the game app, most people will leave their “extra” cards as single BCX. But now people combine them to match exact gold-silver-bronze levels for rentals.

Big change right? As cards are combined they become rare :). Rental market or rather ease of rental market gave people incentive to do something game makers always wanted but never got. To combine cards.

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yep, I think this combination strategy change (was well in place by the time I came in) has been a huge shift in generating scarcity. I think that people are also now considering what it might mean for land. Will combined cards be useful there?

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That is the current speculation. 'To Cultivate' land, most people think it will require max cards. Meaning a L10 Common will yield more than a L9 common. A L2 Rare will yield more than a L2 Common. And so on and so forth.

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I hope this land thing (considering the lack of clarity) doesn't fizz, as people have been paying some pretty extreme amounts for plots - myself included.

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I assure you that it will not fizz. We have top people working on it. These new guys have lot of experience developing similar things. FYI, there are 16 developers now working this.

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Glad to hear it. I actually upped my holdings to a huge 8 plots now :D

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I was urged over and over to take part, but I behaved like a stereotypical no-coiner - ignorant of the development process and unwilling to do my own research.

I made this same mistakes too but I was also too lazy to read and understand the game concept even if I was a gamer.

I didn't like the idea of cards.

Well, I just started the game and I hope to go far.

The voucher is making acquiring the chaos packs difficult for new guys who do not have so much to invest.

You have a lot to open I must say.

I can't wait to see your unveiling of cards

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you will just have to wait until the open sale slated for January to get the packs at normal price with no voucher then. The presale and voucher system might be annoying, but it is also there to reward those who have supported and were willing to double-down further a bit in many cases.

I can't wait to see your unveiling of cards

To "break even" I will have to be extremely lucky!!

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I can't wait for this day to come it is literally a day before my birthday and I will be doing an insane 24hr stream and pack opening then, won't be opening nearly as many packs as you but am ever excited to rip into them and see all of the abilities and go over them with chat.

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That sounds great. I am hoping to do a bit of an opening event with some friends on discord and some wine :)

Happy birthday and may you get a gold foil legendary :)

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I enjoy your posts, but struggle to add value in the comments when you've already done a great job with the content.
If you're talking Splinterlands I'm more likely to post a comment, not because I'm more interested, but because I'm more confident I have something to add. (Like pointing out that 15 million is the CL total, so there are only 14 million more to go).

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Sometimes I wonder if I should cut down my posts and leave more gaps to comment on. But when I try I feel like it is incomplete.

I like it when you drop by and comment, as there is always something concise and profound :)

And yeah... 14 million more - which I know! :D

Any guesses on the first 24 hours of the open sale?

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