PeakMonsters Pirates Brawl #184 Report

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This post is an overview of Brawl #184 for PeakMonsters Pirates. The PeakMonsters guilds are sponsored by PeakMonsters, the ultimate marketplace for everything in Splinterlands. If you are not familiar with the PeakMonsters market, I highly recommend you check it out.
This post contains:

Brawl group:

Guild Rank Guild Rank
The Guild of Neoxian9Roaring Twenties22
PeakMonsters Pirates30Praetorian Pandas99
YGG Brawlers (Ásgard)3第一公會 #1 GUILD44
✨[RKO] Outta Nowhere 🧨 11Immortal Phoenix141
Team Rocket47

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Player Results

FrayPlayerWins-LossesFrayPlayerWins-Losses
1cloveeer4-412ceewye2-5
2scyther0075-313darknis🔥5-2🔥
3anonymouslee5-314gkelf3-4
4captainjamiegold🔥8-0🔥15pollypolly🔥4-1🔥
5dizzypascal2-516not-sure5-3
6sinistro85🔥6-2🔥17terrius01🔥5-1🔥
7gimmegoodvibes5-318incinerator🔥4-2🔥
8punggung5-319ding34381-4
9pero82🔥5-2🔥20bubbaklubba3-3
10mumuwhale🔥4-1🔥21tbone-scholar10-6
11aditheking1-6

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Overall brawl results

GuildWinsLossesCrowns SPS Merits
The Guild of Neoxian11926207180.99212814
PeakMonsters Pirates8263142124.7178114
YGG Brawlers (Ásgard)8065121121.6756914
✨[RKO] Outta Nowhere 🧨8065104121.6755448
Team Rocket64748397.3403952
Roaring Twenties55847183.6524057
Praetorian Pandas45605868.4422762
第一公會 #1 GUILD44735766.9212714
Immortal Phoenix15761922.814724

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All PeakMonsters Pirates battles and win chances

The table below contains win chances (given in %) and links to all the battles from PeakMonsters Pirates players that I was able to fetch. A "-" symbol indicates that the match was not played, either because the opponent guild did not enter the fray, or the match was no longer present in the battle histories when the data for this report was fetched.

Note that "Ambush" is not accounted for here, and winrates against guilds that have that strategy might not be accurate.

PlayerThe Guild of Neoxian   YGG Brawlers (Ásgard)  ✨[RKO] Outta Nowhere 🧨          Team Rocket    Roaring Twenties  Praetorian Pandas    第一公會 #1 GUILD     Immortal Phoenix   Average
@captainjamiegold41    W83    W100  W84    W99    W100  W100  W100  W88
@sinistro8582    W100  W0      L0      L100  W91    W84    W90    W68
@terrius014      L99    W100  W99    W--100  W100  W84
@pero8237    W0      L22    L29    W100  W100  W61    W-50
@darknis1      L89    W0      L28    W100  W99    W100  W-60
@gimmegoodvibes20    W100  W34    L88    L81    L99    W100  W100  W78
@punggung48    L94    W85    L99    W100  W0      L89    W100  W77
@anonymouslee26    L--99    W100  W97    L71    L100  W82
@scyther0070      L0      L86    W100  W-99    W100  W100  W69
@not-sure84    L0      L91    W0      L100  W100  W100  W100  W72
@pollypolly78    L100  W98    W100  W100  W---95
@mumuwhale100  L12    W84    W99    W27    W---64
@incinerator13    W0      L0      L100  W96    W-86    W-49
@cloveeer96    L0      L0      L93    W12    L100  W100  W98    W62
@bubbaklubba92    W0      L75    W27    L11    L98    W--50
@gkelf99    W0      L0      L0      L100  W14    L18    W-33
@dizzypascal0      L0      L4      L-11    L0      L100  W100  W31
@ceewye2      L0      L100  W82    L0      L38    W-19    L34
@ding34380      L10    W39    L68    L9      L---25
@aditheking2      L0      L10    L0      L60    L-6      L99    W25
@tbone-scholar10      L0      L0      L0      L0      L-0      L-0

Best/Worst luck

The luckiest PeakMonsters Pirates player in this brawl was pero82 with 5 wins versus an expected 3.49 wins.

The most unlucky PeakMonsters Pirates player in this brawl was anonymouslee with 3 wins versus an expected 4.93 wins.

Total results vs Actual results

PeakMonsters Pirates won 80 of the battles in the tables above, while the expected number of wins was 81.97.
Note that this calculation is made for the battles that the author was able to fetch from the battle histories. There might be a few battles missing.

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Top Brawl Performances

The table below shows the 20 players that had the best performance in this brawl group.

PlayerWinrate in %Total winsGuild
#1@captainjamiegold1008PeakMonsters Pirates
#2@xawi1007The Guild of Neoxian
#3@zurichhh1007The Guild of Neoxian
#4@xadragon1007The Guild of Neoxian
#5@zawarrior1006The Guild of Neoxian
#6@kvm86887YGG Brawlers (Ásgard)
#7@brimreaper887YGG Brawlers (Ásgard)
#8@namelessnameless887The Guild of Neoxian
#9@mango-juice887The Guild of Neoxian
#10@akomoajong887The Guild of Neoxian
#11@vinhald887The Guild of Neoxian
#12@pfork866✨[RKO] Outta Nowhere 🧨
#13@antonine866YGG Brawlers (Ásgard)
#14@zaku866The Guild of Neoxian
#15@xwaakaa835✨[RKO] Outta Nowhere 🧨
#16@ajpl835YGG Brawlers (Ásgard)
#17@maisiewss835YGG Brawlers (Ásgard)
#18@terrius01835PeakMonsters Pirates
#19@neoxian835The Guild of Neoxian
#20@ts-warrior835The Guild of Neoxian

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(Edited)

The luckiest PeakMonsters Pirates player in this brawl was pero82 with 5 wins versus an expected 3.49 wins.

It's not luck... 💪😎💪
😂

btw, it might be more "politically correct" to say someone overperformed or underperformed. lol

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How is the percentage calculated btw? The first game posted below my splintertools says 95% winrate for Captainjamiegold but the percentage says 41% on the report?
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(Edited)

I have my own code for calculating the win chances. There are probably some bugs here and there so it might not be perfectly accurate in all cases. For example this Yodin match looks like there could be something wrong, so ill investigate that one.

Edit: There are several important attack order effects in round 1 that decide the outcome of that match. In particular the order of your opponent's Orella/Tenyii and which Serpentine Spy that attacks first.

I'm quite confident that its accurate in the majority of matches though.

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Aha cool, I'm sure your code is better than splintertools overall so I will trust that one more. I still can't see that I'm not the favorite here unless my chimney misses a few shots in a row in the end(his serpentine would just have attacked Aganju and my spy would have died at the same time anyways ;)

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