Road to Opening 1000 Chaos Legion Packs - Week 3 | Splinterlands #150

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Another week has gone by in my challenge to opening 1000 Chaos Legion packs, and I will closely monitor and transparently share all details about the challenge in these posts.

Road to opening 1000 Chaos Legion Packs Week 3 Update

When I started to do sports betting seriously and devoured all books and information pertaining to statistics and modelling sports betting, I learnt about negative expected value. Not to go too much into detail, but the gist is that a sports bet that produces a negative expectation value over the long term would be a long-term loser and therefore not worth it. This week's pack opening has been the worse of the challenge so far!

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All total values increased negatively, with yield per pack being the highest since the challenge started (-$1.41), and the P/L is in touching distance of -$100 loss. I was reminded in the comments on my previous post that all it takes is a Gold Foil Legendary to turn things around; I guess this is why casinos are always busy, as it gives that hope of landing the jackpot!

Key Cards

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Previous pack openings had at least one legendary card, which significantly helps prop up the value of the cards. There was no such luck this week, and apart from a Gold Foil Portal Spinner and a few rare summoners, noting that stood out in terms of value.

Summary

Previous Updates:

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I guess this is why casinos are always busy, as it gives that hope of landing the jackpot!

hope that makes players very enthusiastic, I've felt it, even though I didn't buy as many packs as you did, but that feeling and the hope of getting a high-value card is very tempting :D

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(Edited)

Good luck, you never know when the balance get positive. on 1400 packs I think I only got around 50-60 Gold, and only 1-2 GL. Not impressed until now.

But, I got quite few cards on every airdrop card, so, I presume they compensate the loss. Do you monitor the airdrop cards?

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